WASHINGTON - The White House budget office will tell federal agencies on Thursday to begin preparations for the first shutdown of the U.S. government since the pandemic began, as lawmakers on Capitol Hill struggle to reach a funding agreement.
Administration officials stress the request is in line with traditional procedures seven days ahead of a shutdown and not a commentary on the likelihood of a congressional deal. Both Democrats and Republicans have made clear they intend to fund the government before its funding expires on Sept. 30, but time is running out and lawmakers are aiming to resolve an enormous set of tasks to in a matter of weeks.
House Democrats earlier this week approved a measure to fund the government, suspend the debt ceiling, and approve emergency aid such as disaster relief. But that plan is expected to die in the Senate amid GOP refusal to support Democratic attempts to lift the debt ceiling.
With the first of two major deadlines looming next week, Democrats publicly maintained the current course, pledging to put the House-backed bill before the Senate that would fund the government into December and allow the country to borrow freely throughout most of 2022.
“Every single member of this chamber is going to go on record as to whether they support keeping the government open and averting a default, or support shutting us down and careening our country toward a first-ever default,” Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., said to open debate on the chamber floor.
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Privately, though, Democrats also began to acknowledge they are unlikely to prevail in the face of a GOP blockade. Democrats have started discussing the mechanics of how to sidestep Republicans as soon as next week, according to lawmakers and aides, as they maintain they will not allow the government to shut down in a pandemic or the country to default for the first time in history.
“We’re looking at all the options, but a government shutdown is not acceptable,” said Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., a member of the chamber’s budget committee.
The shutdown warnings come amid a series of rapid developments in Washington over multiple concurrent fiscal fights, including the president’s economic agenda and a looming debt ceiling cliff that if not resolved in weeks could plunge the economy into recession.
Speaking independently to reporters on Thursday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and Schumer announced they had reached a framework agreement with the White House over how to pay for Democrats’ $3.5 trillion economic relief package. The Democratic leaders did not share any details about the tax increases or other measures they have agreed to adopt. The House of Representatives is set to vote Monday on a separate $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure package amid a revolt from liberal-leaning Democrats insisting that the $3.5 trillion package secure approval at the same time.
An already difficult challenge given their fierce internal divisions, Democrats’ attempts to pass the infrastructure and spending plans are further complicated by the looming deadlines over funding the government and need to avert a default.
In a sign of the early scramble to avoid a shutdown, the Senate’s two top appropriators - Chairman Patrick J. Leahy, D-Vt., and top Republican Richard C. Shelby (Ala.) - are set to huddle at a meeting later Thursday to discuss issues potentially including a short-term agreement to keep the government funded. Such a measure could be moved independently of an increase in the debt ceiling, since Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have an expressed an openness to supporting such a solution.
Still, given that the funding has not been approved, the White House Office of Management and Budget is planning to tell federal agencies Thursday to review and revise their emergency plans for a shutdown.
“We fully expect Congress to work in a bipartisan fashion to keep our government open, get disaster relief to the Americans who need it, and avoid a catastrophic default, especially as we continue to confront the pandemic and power an economic recovery,” said Abdullah Hasan, an OMB spokesman, in a statement. “In the meantime, prudent management requires that the government plan for the possibility of a lapse in funding. Consistent with long-standing practice across multiple Administrations, OMB is preparing for any contingency, and determinations about specific programs are being actively reviewed by agencies.”
Bill Hoagland, a senior vice president at the Bipartisan Policy Center and former Republican staff director for the Senate Budget Committee, pointed out that parts of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Institutes of Health would be closed as part of the government shutdown. Hoagland said a very brief shutdown may occur but said he doubted it would go on for “any length of time.”
“This would be the first shutdown during a declaration of national emergency,” Hoagland said. “In the midst of an ongoing pandemic and non-resolved issues related to the delta virus, to have a shutdown of some of the major federal agencies would add unbelievable complications to our ability to recover.”